Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.057118e-03 1.203272e-03 0.001351 0.001510 0.001678 0.001847 0.002032
2025-07-13 8.212217e-04 1.028701e-03 0.001246 0.001488 0.001749 0.002019 0.002319
2025-07-20 6.136216e-04 8.588215e-04 0.001126 0.001434 0.001772 0.002130 0.002534
2025-07-27 5.054630e-04 7.851488e-04 0.001101 0.001474 0.001892 0.002340 0.002851
2025-08-03 3.870564e-04 6.849512e-04 0.001036 0.001461 0.001948 0.002476 0.003085
2025-08-10 2.571246e-04 5.521565e-04 0.000921 0.001382 0.001921 0.002516 0.003210
2025-08-17 1.741503e-04 4.655379e-04 0.000852 0.001350 0.001943 0.002606 0.003385
2025-08-24 9.227226e-05 3.599534e-04 0.000748 0.001268 0.001902 0.002620 0.003472
2025-08-31 5.087378e-05 3.037148e-04 0.000702 0.001253 0.001935 0.002715 0.003648
2025-09-07 2.755034e-05 2.699953e-04 0.000683 0.001269 0.002003 0.002850 0.003867
2025-09-14 5.658014e-06 2.158899e-04 0.000628 0.001234 0.002008 0.002908 0.003997
2025-09-21 3.545327e-07 1.958294e-04 0.000622 0.001262 0.002087 0.003053 0.004224
2025-09-28 NaN 1.913540e-04 0.000652 0.001357 0.002272 0.003347 0.004654
2025-10-05 NaN 1.389237e-04 0.000597 0.001335 0.002312 0.003472 0.004894
2025-10-12 NaN 8.476586e-05 0.000524 0.001281 0.002311 0.003550 0.005079
2025-10-19 NaN 6.633863e-05 0.000515 0.001319 0.002425 0.003765 0.005424
2025-10-26 NaN 3.902588e-05 0.000474 0.001307 0.002474 0.003900 0.005676
2025-11-02 NaN 9.614443e-06 0.000397 0.001231 0.002435 0.003927 0.005798
2025-11-09 NaN 2.581115e-07 0.000352 0.001200 0.002454 0.004021 0.005999
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000283 0.001122 0.002405 0.004030 0.006096
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000254 0.001108 0.002440 0.004141 0.006314
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000241 0.001123 0.002516 0.004303 0.006591
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000206 0.001090 0.002522 0.004376 0.006760